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Thursday, October 21, 2010

Fire Readiness Plan for 10-21-2010



Here is today's fire readiness plan for North Carolina. I also monitored radio traffic that said that all open burning is prohibited in Buncombe County today.

Here is the Fire Weather Planning Forecast for parts of western North Carolina via the National Weather Service:


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
630 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

...VERY DRY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND WILL
REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH WILL
EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DEEP MOISTURE
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM OVER THE CENTRAL
PART OF THE COUNTRY.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-212100-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
630 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP          65           36           61
MIN/MAX RH %          25           84           23
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 12 G29    NW 12 G31    NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 17 G33    NW  6        NW  6
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
LAL                   1            1            1
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME)  45/0900      0000         44/0900
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
DSI                   1                         1
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    6000                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      NW 16
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    222000                    81600
ADI EARLY             84 GOOD      51 GEN GOOD  52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              112 VERY GOOD20 GEN POOR  66 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            2            3
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            1
MIN VSBY EARLY        8            10
MIN VSBY LATE         10           6 FOG

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ048-053-065-507-509-212100-
MADISON-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
630 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP          68           37           64
MIN/MAX RH %          22           83           22
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  8 G22    NW  9 G26    LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 15 G26    NW  5        NW  5
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
LAL                   1            1            1
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME)  45/0900      2000         45/0900
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
DSI                   2                         1
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    5800                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 13
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    179800                    66300
ADI EARLY             64 GOOD      44 GEN GOOD  36 FAIR
ADI LATE              97 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            2            3
MAX LVORI LATE        1            3            1
MIN VSBY EARLY        8            10
MIN VSBY LATE         10           6 FOG

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ303-212100-
NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK-
630 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP          62           33           60
MIN/MAX RH %          25           89           23
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W  8 G23     NW  8 G24    LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      N  5
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
LAL                   1            1            1
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME)  42/0900      2000         43/0900
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
DSI                   1                         1
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4900                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      NW 12
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    147000                    52800
ADI EARLY             52 GEN GOOD  41 GEN GOOD  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              80 GOOD      10 POOR      46 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            2
MIN VSBY EARLY        4 FOG        10
MIN VSBY LATE         10           4 FOG

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NCZ051-052-058-059-062>064-212100-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...BREVARD
630 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2010

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP          66           34           64
MIN/MAX RH %          22           92           21
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  7 G21    NW  8 G24    LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW 13 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
LAL                   1            1            1
INVERSION(TEMP/TIME)  43/0900      2000         43/0900
HAINES INDEX          4            5            5
DSI                   1                         1
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    5600                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 30                     NW 12
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    168000                    67200
ADI EARLY             63 GOOD      41 GEN GOOD  19 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              87 GOOD      11 POOR      50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            1
MIN VSBY EARLY        4 FOG        10
MIN VSBY LATE         10           3 FOG

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM
RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

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